EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish and deeper decline is still expected. Below 1.3332 will target 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.3502 from 1.3700 at 1.3209. But in that case, strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. . Meanwhile, above 1.3444 will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3502 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, overall price actions from 1.6039 is viewed as a corrective pattern. One interpretation is that fall from 1.6039 to 1.2329 was the first leg. Price actions from 1.2329 were the second leg, in form of a triangle. In such view, the fifth leg of the triangle pattern could have completed at 1.3993 already. In other words, the decline from 1.3993 is resuming the fall from 1.16039. Medium term outlook will now stay cautiously bearish as long as 1.3700 resistance holds. Break of 1.2755 key support level will raise the chance of an eventual break of 1.1875 low.